Dr. Michael Paul
International Security Senior Fellow
Areas of Expertise
- Asia
- Economics, trade, resources
- Russia, E. Europe, Central Asia
- Security and defence policy
- USA, Canada
- Arctic
- China
- Indo-Pacific
- Russian Federation
- Ukraine
- United States
- Arms control
- Defence and security policy / Armed forces
- Maritime security
- Nato
Short Curriculum vitae
Since 2007 Senior Fellow, SWP
2018-2019 Expert Team on Maritime Security in the “Seas and Oceans” thematic cycle of the German Federal Government
Since 1995 Project Director, Armed Forces Dialogue
1995–2007 Head of Research Secretariat, SWP
SWP Publications
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China’s Arctic Turn
Reasons, Developments, Perspectives
SWP Comment 2025/C 08, 13.02.2025, 4 Pagesdoi:10.18449/2025C08
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Back to the Future of the Arctic
The Enduring Relevance of Arms Control
SWP Comment 2024/C 18, 02.05.2024, 7 Pagesdoi:10.18449/2024C18
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U.S. Arctic Security Policy
North American Arctic strategies, Russian hubris and Chinese ambitions
SWP Comment 2023/C 40, 18.07.2023, 8 Pagesdoi:10.18449/2023C40
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Geopolitics in the Baltic Sea Region
The “Zeitenwende” in the context of critical maritime infrastructure, escalation threats and the German willingness to lead
SWP Comment 2023/C 09, 16.02.2023, 8 Pagesdoi:10.18449/2023C09
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Arctic Repercussions of Russia’s Invasion
Council on Pause, Research on Ice and Russia Frozen Out
SWP Comment 2022/C 39, 10.06.2022, 4 Pagesdoi:10.18449/2022C39
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Moscow Threatens the Balance in the High North
In Light of Russia’s War in Ukraine, Finland and Sweden Are Moving Closer to NATO
SWP Comment 2022/C 24, 31.03.2022, 8 Pagesdoi:10.18449/2022C24
External publications
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Trump 2.0’s Arctic Opportunity: Thawing Frozen Dialogue
in: North American and Arctic Defence and Security Network, 06.03.2025 -
Russia’s war and the prospects for Arctic States’ cooperation
in: Arctic Yearbook 2022, November 2022 -
Germany in the Arctic-North Atlantic: Reassessing “Forgotten Waters,” Part 2
Center for International Maritime Security (CIMSEC), 22.06.2022 (online) -
Germany in the Arctic-North Atlantic: Reassessing “Forgotten Waters,” Part 1
Center for International Maritime Security (CIMSEC), 15.06.2022 (online) -
Plans, problems and perspectives for Greenland’s project independence
In: Arctic Yearbook 2021, Arctic Portal, 22.11.2021, (online) -
Europe and the South China Sea: challenges, constraints and options
in: Sebastian Biba, Reinhard Wolf (eds.), Europe in an Era of Growing Sino-American Competition. Coping with an Unstable Triangle, London/New York: Routledge, 2021, pp. 92-106