Dr. Michael Paul


Research Division: International Security
Senior Fellow

michael.paul(at)swp-berlin.org

2018-2019 Member of the Expert Team on Maritime Security in the “Seas and Oceans” thematic cycle of the Round Table of the German Federal Government

Since 2007 Senior Fellow, SWP

Since 1996 Project Director, Armed Forces Dialogue

1995–2007 Head of Research Secretariat, SWP

1990–1994 Chief of Staff, Bavarian Parliament

1988 Adjunct Research Fellow, CSIA, Harvard University

1986–1990 Research Fellow, SWP Ebenhausen

Areas of Expertise:

Afghanistan, China, Indo-Pacific, Russian Federation, Ukraine, United States, Arms control, Defence and security policy / Armed forces, Maritime security, Nato


SWP Publications (selection):

Michael Paul

Maritime Nuclear Deterrence

Submarine-Launched Ballistic Missiles in the South China Sea

SWP Comment 2018/C 43, October 2018, 7 Pages
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 | 427 KB
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 | 877 KB
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 | 3.2 MB
Michael Paul, Elisabeth Suh

North Korea’s Nuclear-Armed Missiles

Options for the US and its Allies in the Asia-Pacific

SWP Comment 2017/C 32, August 2017, 8 Pages
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 | 159 KB
Michael Paul

A “Great Wall of Sand” in the South China Sea?

Political, Legal and Military Aspects of the Island Dispute

SWP Research Paper 2016/RP 08, July 2016, 25 Pages
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 | 660 KB
Michael Paul

The United States, China and the Freedom of the Seas

Washington’s FONOPs Conflict with Beijing

SWP Comment 2016/C 15, March 2016, 4 Pages
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 | 80 KB
Felix Heiduk, Michael Paul

Seas of Trouble: Enduring Territorial Conflicts in East and Southeast Asia

SWP Comment 2015/C 10, February 2015, 7 Pages
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 | 113 KB

External Publications (selection):

Michael Paul

The Security Dimensions of the Greek Crisis

in : European Security and Defence, November 2015, pp. 17–19
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 | 184 KB
Michael Paul

Closing Pandora´s Box: Germany, Nuclear Weapons, and Another New START

in: Robin Allers, Carlo Masala, Rolf Tamnes (eds.), Common or Divided Security? German and Norwegian Perspectives on Euro-Atlantic Security, Frankfurt/Main et al.: Peter Lang, 2014, pp. 71-84
Marcel Dickow, Oliver Meier, Max Mutschler, Michael Paul

The case for rethinking NATO missile defense plans

in: Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, 25.11.2013

In the Media/ »Point of View« (selection):

Michael Paul

The Ruling in the Case “Philippines v. China”: Ambivalent Consequences

in: Newsletter of the Japanese-German Center Berlin (Japanisch-Deutsches Zentrum Berlin), No. 116, September 2016
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 | 113 KB

SWP Research Papers

Anja Dahlmann, Marcel Dickow
Preventive Regulation of Autonomous Weapon Systems

Need for Action by Germany at Various Levels

Hanns Günther Hilpert, Oliver Meier (eds.)
Facets of the North Korea Conflict

Actors, Problems and Europe’s Interests