Publications

Wolfram Lacher

2019

Who is Fighting Whom in Tripoli? Geneva: Small Arms Survey, August 2019 (SANA Briefing Paper August 2019)

Who’s Fighting Haftar in Tripoli? in: Small Arms Survey, SANA, Medium Small Arms Blog, July 2019 (online)

Libya's New Civil War - and What the United States Can Do About it, Foreign Affairs, 30 May 2019 (online).

Bataille de Tripoli: la méprise de Khalifa Haftar, Le Monde, 16. April 2019 (online).

Think Libya's warring factions are in for it for the money? Think again., Washington Post, Monkey Cage Blog, 10 April 2019

Le conflict libyen, creuset des réseaux régioneaux, in: Géopolitique du Sahel et du Sahara, Hérodote - Revue de Géographie et de Géopolitique 2019/1 No.172, S. 23-42

Libya's Conflicts Enter a Dangerous New Phase, Berlin: Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik, February 2019 (SWP Comment 2019/C 08)

What Libya tells us about Europe's role in its unstable neighborhood, The Security Times, February 2019 (online)

2018

Mission Impossible? - UN Mediation in Libya, Syria and Yemen, Berlin: Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik, October 2018 (SWP Research Paper 2018/RP 08) (with Muriel Asseburg and Mareike Transfeld)

Libya: Getting Serious about Negotiations, Berlin: Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik, October 2018 (SWP Comment 2018/C 39)

,كارتل ميليشيات طرابلس الاحتكاري: الاستقرار غير المدروس يقف في وجه التقدّم السياسي ويجازف بتجديد الحرب في ليبيا Fanack, Arabic Edition, 29 june 2018 (online)

Capital of Militias, Geneva: Small Arms Survey, June 2018 (SANA Briefing Paper June 2018) (with Alaa al-Idrissi)

عاصمة الميليشيات: سيطرة التشكيلات المسلحة في طرابلس على الدولة الليبية. مسح الأسلحة الصغيرة، ورقة إحاطة
June 2018 (with Alaa al-Idrissi)

The Wrong Way to Fix Libya, in: Foreign Affairs, 19 June 2018 (online) (with Frederic Wehrey)

Tripoli’s Militia Cartel, Berlin: Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik, April 2018 (SWP Comment 2018/C 20)

Libya Case Study, Elite Bargains and Political Deals Project, London: Stabilisation Unit, February 2018

2017

Was Libya’s Collapse Predictable?, in: Survival, 59 (2017) 2, p. 139-152

Libya after ISIS, in: Foreign Affairs, 22.02.2017 (online) (with Frederic Wehrey)

2016

For partners in managing refugee flows, don’t look to Libya, in: Open Democracy, 19 May 2016

Crise des réfugiés: le leurre d'un accord avec la Libye, The Conversation, French Edition, 16 may 2016

The Next Front Against ISIS The Right Way to Intervene in Libya, in: Foreign Affairs, 7 February 2016 (online) (with Frederic Wehrey)

السياسة بوسائل أخرى: المصالح المتضاربة في القطاع الأمنيّ الليبيّ، مشروع مسح الأسلحة الصغيرة، الورقة ٢٠، جنيف، يناير 2016

Libya’s local elites and the politics of alliance building, in: Mediterranean Politics, (Special Issue "Dynamics of Transformation, Elite Change and New Social Mobilization in the Arab World"), 21 (2016) 1 (online first)

2015

Libya’nın Güneyi ve Bölgesel İstikrarsızlık, ORDAF Rapor No. 12, Istanbul 2015

Supporting Stabilization in Libya, Berlin: Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik, July 2015 (SWP Comments 2015/C 36)

Farklı Dilde Siyaset: Libya’nın Güvenlik Sektöründe Çatışan Çıkarlar, ORDAF Rapor No. 11, Istanbul 2015 (with Peter Cole)

Libya: A Jihadist Growth Market, in: Annette Weber and Guido Steinberg (eds.): Jihadism in Africa: Local Causes, Regional Expansion, International Alliances, Berlin: Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik, June 2015 (SWP Research Paper 2015/RP 05), pp.11-14

Spreading Local Roots: AQIM and Its Offshoots in the Sahara, in: Annette Weber and Guido Steinberg (eds.): Jihadism in Africa: Local Causes, Regional Expansion, International Alliances, Berlin: Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik, June 2015 (SWP Research Paper 2015/RP 05), pp. 69-83 (with Guido Steinberg)

Factionalism Resurgent: The War in the Jabal Nafusa, in: Peter Cole, Brian McQuinn (Hg.): The Libyan Revolution and its Aftermath, London: Hurst, 2015 (mit Ahmed Labnouj)

2014

Politics by Other Means: Conflicting Interests in Libya's Security Sector, Geneva: Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies, October 2014 (Small Arms Survey Working Paper No. 20), 102 pages (with Peter Cole)

Libya's Legitimacy Crisis, Foreign Affairs, 6.October 2014 (online) (with Frederic Wehrey)

Libya’s Transition: Towards Collapse, Berlin: Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik, May 2014 (SWP Comments 2014/C 25)

Libya's Fractious South and Regional Instability. Small Arms Survey, Security Assessment in North Africa, Dispatch No. 3, February 2014

International Helplesness over Libya, Berlin: Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik, 24. February 2014 (SWP Point of View)

الجنوب الليبي المشاكس وعدم الاستقرار في الإقليم ,الخطاب الرسمي ٣,مشروع مسح الأسلحة الصغيرة، جنيفمايو,2014.

تصعدات الثورة الليبية: القوى الفاعلة و التكتلات و الصراعات في ليبيا الجديدة ,دراسات عالمية 120، مركز الإمارات للدراسات و البحوث الإستراتيجية, 2014.

2013

One Hippopotamus and Eight Blind Analysts: A Multivocal Analysis of the 2012 Political Crisis in the Divided Republic of Mali, in: Review of African Political Economy, Vol. 40 (2013) no. 137, pp. 343-357 (mit Baz Lecocq, Gregory Mann, Bruce Whitehouse, Dida Badi, Lotte Pelckmans, Nadia Belalimat und Bruce Hall)

Bamako is the real problem, in: The Security Times: Special Edition of the Atlantic Times for the 49th Munich Security Conference, February 2013, p. 13

The Rise of Tribal Politics, in: Jason Pack (Ed.): The 2011 Libyan Uprisings and the Struggle for the Post-Qadhafi Future, New York 2013, pp. 151-174

Challenging the Myth of the Drug-Terror Nexus in the Sahel, Accra: West African Commission on Drugs, 2013 (Background Paper/BP 4)

The Malian crisis and the challenge of regional cooperation, in: Stability: International Journal of Security & Development, Vol. 2 (2013) no. 2, pp. 1-5

Fault lines of the revolution: political actors, camps and conflicts in the new Libya, Berlin: Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik, April 2013 (SWP Research Paper 2013/RP 04), 36 pages

Mali: Beyond Counterterrorism, Berlin: Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik, February 2013 (SWP Comments/C07, with Denis M. Tull), 7 pages

2012

Northern Mali: Key is Strengthening Bamako; ECOWAS Plan Harbors Risks, in: Global Observatory, 14.9.2012 (online)

Organized Crime and Conflict in the Sahel-Sahara Region, Washington DC: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, September 2012 (Carnegie Paper)

الجريمة المنظَّمة والصراع في منطقة الساحل والصحراء. مؤسسة كارنيغي للسلام الدولي، سبتمبر 2012

Libye: révolution, guerre civile et montée en puissance de centres de pouvoir locaux, in: Frédéric Charillon and Alain Dieckhoff (Hrsg.) Afrique du Nord – Moyen Orient 2012-2013. Printemps arabe: trajectoires variées, incertitudes persistantes, La documentation française, Paris 2012, p. 49-65

The Libyan revolution and the rise of local power centres, in: IEMed. Mediterranean Yearbook, Barcelona 2012, pp. 167-170

Is Autonomy for Northeastern Libya Realistic? in: Sada, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 21.3.2012 (online)

The Libyan Revolution: Old Elites and New Political Forces, in: Muriel Asseburg (ed.): Protest, Revolt and Regime Change in the Arab World: Actors, Challenges, Implications and Policy Options, Berlin: Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik, February 2012 (SWP Research Paper 2012/RP 06), pp. 11-14

Regional Repercussions of Revolution and Civil War in Libya, in: Muriel Asseburg (ed.): Protest, Revolt and Regime Change in the Arab World: Actors, Challenges, Implications and Policy Options, Berlin: Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik, February 2012 (SWP Research Paper 2012/RP 06), pp. 47-50

International Policies Towards theTwo Sudans : What Role for Germany? in: Heinrich Böll Foundation and Toni Weis (eds.) Sudan after Separation – New Approaches to a New Region, Berlin 2012, pp. 81-93

South Sudan: International State-Building and its Limits, Berlin: Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik, February 2012 (SWP Research Paper 2012/RP 04), 33 pages

2011

Families, Tribes and Cities in the Libyan Revolution, in: Middle East Policy, Vol. XVIII (Winter 2011) 4, pp. 140-154

The International Role in Post-Qadhafi Libya? Withdraw. Washington DC: Middle East Policy Council, 29.8.2011 (online)

Libya after Qaddafi - State Formation or State Collapse? Berlin: Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik, March 2011 (SWP Comments/C 09), 8 pages

Organized Crime and Terrorism in the Sahel Drivers, Actors, Options, Berlin: Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik, January 2011 (SWP Comments/C 01), 4 pages

2010

Sudan: Negotiating Southern Independence, High Stakes in the Talks on Post-referendum Arrangements, Berlin: Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik, September 2010 (SWP Comments/C 23), 7 pages

2008

Actually Existing Security: The Political Economy of the Saharan Threat, in: Security Dialogue, Vol. 39 (April 2008) no. 4, pp. 383-405

2007

Iraq: Exception to, or Epitome of Contemporary Post-conflict Reconstruction? in: International Peacekeeping, Vol. 14 (2007) no. 2, pp. 237-250

2006

A Paradox of Plenty? Rent Distribution and Political Stability in Oil States

SWP Comments

Melanie Müller, Judith Vorrath
Mozambique Still At Risk

Despite the Peace Process, A Serious Crisis Looms


Denis M. Tull
UN Peacekeeping in Mali

Time to Adjust Minusma’s Mandate


SWP Research Papers

Stephan Roll
A Sovereign Wealth Fund for the Prince

Economic Reforms and Power Consolidation in Saudi Arabia


Muriel Asseburg, Wolfram Lacher, Mareike Transfeld
Mission Impossible?

UN Mediation in Libya, Syria and Yemen