Portraitfoto Lars Brozus (bzs)

Dr. Lars Brozus

Research Division: The Americas
Senior Associate


phone:+49 30 88007-323

2006-2010 Managing Director, SFB 700 »Governance in Areas of Limited Statehood«, Freie Universität Berlin, Berlin

2002-2006 Foreign Policy Advisor, German Parliament, Berlin

2001-2002 Research Associate, Institute for Political Science, TU Darmstadt, Darmstadt

1995-2001 Research Associate, Institute for Intercultural and International Studies, University Bremen, Bremen

Areas of Expertise:

Democracy promotion, Fragile states, Nation- and state-building, Responsibility to protect

Strategic foresight, global governance, science-policy link

SWP Publications (selection):

Lars Brozus

(Not) Lost in Foresight

Structuring Futures Complexity in a Politically Meaningful Way

SWP Comment 2021/C 33, May 2021, 5 Pages


Lars Brozus

Preparing for the Crises after COVID-19

Systematic Foresight as a Tool for Evidence-informed Precautionary Policy

SWP Comment 2020/C 51, November 2020, 4 Pages


Lars Brozus

Strategic Foresight for Multilateral Policy

Challenges, Opportunities and Success Factors

SWP Comment 2019/C 41, October 2019, 4 Pages


Lars Brozus (ed.)

While We Were Planning

Unexpected Developments in International Politics. Foresight Contributions 2018

SWP Research Paper 2018/RP 05, September 2018, 46 Pages
Lars Brozus

2022: The First Female Secretary - General of the United Nations

in: Lars Brozus (ed.)
While We Were Planning

Contributions to Research Papers 2018/RP 05, September 2018, 46 Pages, S. 26-30

External Publications (selection):

Lars Brozus

The Difficulty of Anticipating Global Challenges: The Lessons of COVID-19

in: Tom Bernes, Lars Brozus, Michal Hatuel-Radoshitzky, et al., "Challenges of Global Governance Amidst the COVID-19 Pandemic", Paper Series, Council on Foreign Relations, May 2020, pp. 6-9.
Lars Brozus, Christian Jetzlsperger, Gregor Walter-Drop


in: The Oxford Handbook of Governance and Limited Statehood, April 2018
Lars Brozus, Hanns Maull

Think Tanks and Foreign Policy

in: Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Politics, September 2017, 24 pages
Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung (Rio de Janeiro) (ed.), Lars Brozus

Elements of a democratically-based anti-authoritarian Foreign Policy

in: World Politics of Security (XII Forte de Copacabana Conference - International Security: A European - South American Dialogue) January 2015, pp. 321-332
Lars Brozus, Jessica von Farkas

Germany and R2P

Common but Differentiated Responsibility?

in: Hanns Seidel Foundation et al. (eds.): The Responsibility to Protect - From Evasive to Reluctant Action? The Role of Global Middle Powers, Johannisburg, 2012, pp. 53-69

In the Media/ »Point of View« (selection):

Lars Brozus

Will multilateralism be great again?

Aspirational talk is important, but future-oriented policies based on foresight and predictions are essential for international cooperation, argues Lars Brozus.

Point of View, 26.03.2021
Lars Brozus, Stephan Roll

Five years after the murder of Giulio Regeni: Europe's dangerous Egypt policy

Egypt has never been called to account for the murder of Giulio Regeni, nor for the numerous human rights violations committed by the Sisi regime. Focusing only on stability, European governments are increasingly losing touch with actual developments in Egypt, say Lars Brozus and Stephan Roll.

Point of View, 03.02.2021
Lars Brozus

Foresight can help in preparing better for nasty surprises

Systematic foresight can help policy-makers to prepare more effectively in targeting nasty surprises such as a global pandemic. However, they still have to balance competing interests, argues Lars Brozus.

Point of View, 08.04.2020
Lars Brozus

"No Crystal Ball"

The editor of the SWP study “While We Were Planning”, Lars Brozus, speaks about the potential benefits of scientifically grounded foresight.

Point of View, 13.09.2018
Oliver Geden, Lars Brozus

Beware the Rise of the Post-Factual Expert

Most researchers and experts strongly believe that myths, half-truths and lies are weaker than facts. It follows that populist parties and politicians peddling such fictions will ultimately disappoint their supporters. Oliver Geden and Lars Brozus beg to differ.

Point of View, 01.06.2017

SWP Comments

Lars Brozus
(Not) Lost in Foresight

Structuring Futures Complexity in a Politically Meaningful Way

Kirsten Westphal
Nord Stream 2 – Germany’s Dilemma

SWP Research Papers

Daniel Voelsen
Internet from Space

How New Satellite Connections Could Affect Global Internet Governance

Sinem Adar, Günter Seufert
Turkey’s Presidential System after Two and a Half Years

An Overview of Institutions and Politics