SWP-Produkte-Feed http://www.swp-berlin.org/ SWP-Produkte-Feed de SWP-Produkte-Feed http://www.swp-berlin.org/typo3conf/ext/tt_news/ext_icon.gif http://www.swp-berlin.org/ 18 16 SWP-Produkte-Feed TYPO3 - get.content.right http://blogs.law.harvard.edu/tech/rss Wed, 16 May 2012 17:57:00 +0200 Turkey’s EU Accession http://www.swp-berlin.org/en/publications/swp-research-paper-detail/article/turkeys_eu_accession.html The Cultural Dimension Günter Seufert Wed, 16 May 2012 15:40:00 +0200 The end of climate policy as we know it http://www.trust.org/alertnet/blogs/climate-conversations/the-end-of-climate-policy-as-we-know-it/ Oliver Geden Mon, 14 May 2012 18:59:00 +0200 Ottawa in Space? http://www.espi.or.at/images/stories/dokumente/Perspectives/espi%20perspectives_33.pdf Reversing the Burden of Proof Regarding Space Weapons Max Mutschler Mon, 14 May 2012 17:16:00 +0200 Keeping Space Safe http://www.hsfk.de/fileadmin/downloads/prif98.pdf Towards A Long-Term Strategy to Arms Control in Space Max Mutschler Mon, 14 May 2012 17:02:00 +0200 On yıllık yalnızlık http://www.swp-berlin.org/en/publications/swp-comments-en/swp-aktuelle-details/article/on_yillik_yalnizlik.html Avrupa Birliği’nin genişleme sürecindeki aranın doldurulması için Batı Balkan ülkeleri ve... 2013 yılının ortasında Hırvatistan’ın üyeliğe kabul edilecek olmasından sonra Avrupa Birliği’nin Batı Balkan ve Türkiye’ye doğru genişleme sürecinin, muhtemelen on yıl veya daha uzun bir süre kesintiye uğraması beklenmektedir. Avrupa Birliği, Balkan ülkelerinde çatışmaları olumlu yöne dönüştüren itici güç konumunda kalmayı nasıl güvence altına alabilir ve gittikçe daha önemli bir uluslararası aktör haline gelen Türkiye üzerindeki etkisinin azalmasını nasıl önleyebilir? Avrupa Birliği daha üyelik öncesinde aday ülkeleri AB’nin birçok politika alanlarıyla olabildiğince öyle bütünleştirmelidir ki, AB’nin genişleme politikasının istikrar sağlayıcı ve demokratikleştirici etkisi sürsün.

]]> SWP Comments Andrea Despot, Dušan Reljić, Günter Seufert Thu, 10 May 2012 13:59:00 +0200 Deset godina samoće http://www.swp-berlin.org/en/publications/swp-comments-en/swp-aktuelle-details/article/deset_godina_samoce.html Da bi se premostio zastoj u procesu širenja Evropske unije, Zapadnom Balkanu i Turskoj trebalo bi... Posle prijema Hrvatske sredinom 2013. godine, može se računati s tim da će proces širenja Evropske unije na Zapadni Balkan i Tursku biti privremeno zaustavljen, možda na deset godina ili čak još duže. Na koji način Evropska unija uprkos tome može da obezbedi da ostane kao pokretačka snaga rešavanja sukoba u zemljama Zapadnog Balkana i kako može da spreči opadanje evropskog uticaja na Tursku, kao sve značajnijeg činioca u međunarodnim odnosima? Trebalo bi da integriše kandidate još pre prijema u što je moguće više različitih oblasti tako da bude sačuvana stabilizirajuće i demokratizirajuće dejstvo politike širenja EU.

]]> SWP Comments Andrea Despot, Dušan Reljić, Günter Seufert Thu, 10 May 2012 13:41:00 +0200 Ten Years of Solitude http://www.swp-berlin.org/en/publications/swp-comments-en/swp-aktuelle-details/article/eu_angebote_an_westbalkan_und_tuerkei.html Turkey and the Western Balkans Require Practical Integration Measures to Bridge the Hiatus in the... In the wake of Croatia's EU accession in mid-2013, it is probable that the Union's enlargement process towards Turkey and the Western Balkans will initially grind to a halt, possibly for a decade or more. How can the EU safeguard nonetheless its position as the driving force behind conflict transformation in Western Balkan states, and how can it prevent European influence on Turkey, an increasingly important player on the international stage, from dwindling? It should ensure candidates' integration within as many EU policy areas as possible prior to accession, so that the stabilising and democratising effects of the EU's enlargement policy remain intact.

]]> SWP Comments Andrea Despot, Dušan Reljić, Günter Seufert Thu, 10 May 2012 12:43:00 +0200 Finding the Cases that Fit: Methodological Challenges in Peace Research http://www.giga-hamburg.de/dl/download.php?d=/content/publikationen/pdf/wp189_simons-zanker.pdf Claudia Simons, Franzisca Zanker Tue, 08 May 2012 15:26:00 +0200 Rio+20: Sustainable Development Goals – The Environmental Pillar http://www.swp-berlin.org/en/publications/swp-research-paper-detail/article/rio_20_sustainable_development_goals_the_environmental_pillar.html Rigorous stock-taking and present proposals Working Papers Birgit Lode, Nils Meyer-Ohlendorf Fri, 04 May 2012 10:04:00 +0200 A New Force to be reckoned with http://https://ip-journal.dgap.org/en/ip-journal/topics/new-force-be-reckoned What France and Germany should do to save European defense Claudia Major Fri, 04 May 2012 09:12:00 +0200 Is the UK Jumping or Being Pushed? http://www.swp-berlin.org/en/publications/swp-comments-en/swp-aktuelle-details/article/british_separatism.html British Separatism after Cameron's EU Veto Since the December 2011 European Council, when the British prime minister blocked moves to amend the EU treaties, there has been speculation about a »domino secession«: the United Kingdom will break from the EU, causing Scotland to break with Britain. Any such British separatism would fly in the face of academic expectations: national groups that are heavily represented in the political process - as Scotland is in the UK, and the UK is in the EU - are usually deemed unlikely to reach for the exit. One particular strand of analysis might, however, explain these developments. Academics have shown that separatism at the periphery can be the result of exclusionary forces from the centre. Is British separatism a case of »secession by the centre«?

]]> SWP Comments Andreas Maurer, Roderick Parkes Thu, 26 Apr 2012 17:05:00 +0200 Together instead of against each other http://www.swp-berlin.org/

As long as Russia doesn't get its apropriate position within the euro-atlantic security system, relations with Russia will remain burdened, say Margarete Klein and Solveig Richter.

 SWP kurz gesagt Margarete Klein, Solveig Richter Tue, 24 Apr 2012 13:54:00 +0200 Continuity and Change: Deconstructing German Foreign Policy toward the Middle East Conflict http://www.swp-berlin.org/en/publications/swp-research-paper-detail/article/continuity_and_change_deconstructing_german_foreign_policy_toward_the_middle_east_conflict.html Jan Busse Fri, 20 Apr 2012 12:08:00 +0200 Political Protest in Central Asia http://www.swp-berlin.org/en/publications/swp-research-papers/swp-research-paper-detail/article/central_asia_political_protest.html Potentials and Dynamics This research paper explores whether social upheavals on the lines of the Arab Spring could occur in the foreseeable future in Central Asia. Like in the Arab world, authoritarian systems, social deficits, corruption and elite self-enrichment create great frustration in Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan. At the same time electronic media are spreading rapidly, with the popularity of online social networks growing apace. Expanding possibilities of individual articulation make protest increasingly unpredictable, actor configurations more complex and impenetrable, and the relationship of politics and society as a whole more contingent.

In five case studies the authors identify factors containing the potential to spark political protests, stir revolt or even erupt into revolution. As elsewhere, the extent and dynamics of future protests in Central Asia will depend increasingly on the use of new media, whose dynamising potential is still kept in check by state censorship. But in the long run the Central Asian states are bound to witness the emergence of a new public sphere shifting its focus more flexibly and demanding solutions sooner rather than later.

Germany and Europe, whose policies are based on expectations of stability, are inadequately prepared for the upcoming transitions in Central Asia. In the long term they will inevitably have to rethink their policies towards the authoritarian regimes in the region, reweight their priorities and work for a policy that permits these civil societies to join the global experience.

]]> SWP Research Paper Andrea Schmitz, Alexander Wolters Wed, 18 Apr 2012 11:44:00 +0200 Sabre-Rattling in the Persian Gulf http://www.swp-berlin.org/en/publications/swp-comments-en/swp-aktuelle-details/article/persian_gulf_sabre_rattling.html Legal and Military Aspects of the Ideological Confrontation between Iran and the United States When Iranian generals threatened in January 2012 to avenge any attack on the Islamic Republic by blocking the Strait of Hormuz, Barack Obama responded promptly and robustly. In a message addressed personally to Iran's Supreme Leader, the US President cautioned that »closing the Strait of Hormuz is our red line«. To underline its seriousness, the warning was communicated to Supreme Leader Seyyed Ali Khamenei via several channels simultaneously. The Iranian reaction was reserved: they would study the message but generally speaking Obama had said nothing new about the American-Iranian relationship. To the extent that relations have been characterised by reciprocal mistrust since 1979, that is certainly true. With a lack of functioning communication channels between the two countries, the resulting acute tensions are bound to come to a head at regular intervals.

]]> SWP Comments Sascha Albrecht, Walter Posch Wed, 18 Apr 2012 09:54:00 +0200 The Failure of the Troika in Athens http://www.swp-berlin.org/en/publications/swp-comments-en/swp-aktuelle-details/article/the_failure_of_the_troika_in_athens.html Foreign Assistance Does not Show Greece the Way out of the Crisis Even after the successful restructuring of Greek’s sovereign debt in March 2012, most economic problems of the country remain unsolved. The non-competitive economy of the EU member country requires a comprehensive transformation. Many observers agree that a fundamental restructuring of the Greek economy is essential to ensure future prosperity. However, the troika – composed of the International Monetary Fund, the European Commission, and the European Central Bank – hitherto concentrated on telling Greek society what ought to be done. Despite sufficient evidence that such an approach has failed many times in development cooperation and in the transformation of economies in eastern Europe, the troika continues to implement its flawed approach. Greece does not need more foreign advisers but rather has to develop macro- and microeconomic concepts and strategies for the improvement of the competitiveness of enterprises. The country has to develop ownership of its reform process, instead of fighting recipes imposed by the troika. There are many examples of successful economic development in recent economic history, but foreign help and recipes never played the decisive role.

]]> SWP Comments Heribert Dieter, Annkathrin Frind Fri, 13 Apr 2012 13:32:00 +0200 EU–Russia Gas Relations http://www.swp-berlin.org/en/publications/swp-comments-en/swp-aktuelle-details/article/eurussia_gas_relations.html How to Manage New Uncertainties and Imbalances EU–Russia gas relations are at a critical stage in 2012. Uncertainty is predominant: The balance between security of supply and security of demand is under threat and long-term business relations are under pressure from market developments and a new regulatory framework. Decarbonization efforts in major EU member states have initiated an energy transition that will diminish the role of gas in the long run. Considering the current inertia in the EU–Russia Energy Dialogue, there is a need to look for ways that accommodate both partners' interests in a reliable but more flexible gas trade partnership over the next decades as well as ways to modernize the energy partnership in light of climate change. In a first step, EU gas Transmission System Operators should take responsibility in coordinating and ensuring access for all gas exporters to all customers inside the EU. This preserves valid supply arrangements and creates effective choice.

]]> SWP Comments Ralf Dickel, Kirsten Westphal Fri, 13 Apr 2012 13:12:00 +0200 If at first Iran says no, try, try again http://www.swp-berlin.org/en/publications/swp-research-paper-detail/article/if_at_first_iran_says_no_try_try_again.html It is not certain that the talks scheduled to begin on Friday, April 13, are really the last chance... Volker Perthes Thu, 12 Apr 2012 10:33:00 +0200 A Post-Arab Spring Strategy http://www.swp-berlin.org/en/publications/swp-research-paper-detail/article/a_post_arab_spring_strategy.html More than a year into the Arab revolts, their outcomes remain highly uncertain. But some initial... Volker Perthes Thu, 12 Apr 2012 10:20:00 +0200 Regional Powerplay: Pakistan, India, Afghanistan http://www.swp-berlin.org/en/publications/swp-research-paper-detail/article/regional_powerplay_pakistan_india_afghanistan.html Christian Wagner Wed, 11 Apr 2012 15:57:00 +0200 EU-Japan Free Trade Agreement: An elusive goal? http://www.deutsche-aussenpolitik.de/index.php?/digest/zeige_oped.php?was=64 Alexandra Sakaki Wed, 11 Apr 2012 15:18:00 +0200 Japan and Germany as Regional Actors: Evaluating Change and Continuity after the Cold War http://www.swp-berlin.org/en/publications/swp-research-paper-detail/article/japan_and_germany_as_regional_actors_evaluating_change_and_continuity_after_the_cold_war.html Alexandra Sakaki Wed, 11 Apr 2012 15:15:00 +0200 Japan-South Korea Textbook Talks: The Necessity of Political Leadership http://www.swp-berlin.org/en/publications/swp-research-paper-detail/article/japan_south_korea_textbook_talks_the_necessity_of_political_leadership.html Alexandra Sakaki Wed, 11 Apr 2012 15:13:00 +0200 Fukušima je hlavní motivací http://www.swp-berlin.org/en/publications/swp-research-paper-detail/article/fukusima_je_hlavni_motivaci.html Oliver Geden Tue, 10 Apr 2012 18:32:00 +0200 The EU's Energy Roadmap 2050: targets without governance http://www.europeanenergyreview.eu/site/pagina.php?id=3636 Severin Fischer, Oliver Geden Tue, 10 Apr 2012 18:21:00 +0200 Narcissism of Minor Differences or Major Economic Rifts? http://www.gmfus.org/archives/narcissism-of-minor-differences-or-major-economic-rifts-the-political-economy-of-post-financial-crisis-management-in-the-united-states-and-the-european-union The Political Economy of (Post) Financial Crisis Management in the United States and the European... Stormy-Annika Mildner, Daniela Schwarzer Tue, 10 Apr 2012 14:30:00 +0200 How to make the comprehensive approach work http://www.swp-berlin.org/en/publications/swp-research-paper-detail/article/how_to_make_the_comprehensive_approach_work.html Preparation at home is key to effective crisis management in the field Claudia Major, Luc van de Goor Tue, 10 Apr 2012 14:23:00 +0200 The EU-Russia Energy Dialogue http://www.swp-berlin.org/en/publications/swp-research-paper-detail/article/the_eu_russia_energy_dialogue.html Travelling Without Moving Working Papers Lars-Christian U. Talseth Wed, 04 Apr 2012 12:37:00 +0200 Ways Out of Russia's Isolation on Syria http://www.themoscowtimes.com/opinion/article/ways-out-of-russias-isolation-on-syria/455816.html Margarete Klein Fri, 30 Mar 2012 15:40:00 +0200 The Local Arena of Power-Sharing: Patterns of Adaptation or Continued Disorder http://www.swp-berlin.org/en/publications/swp-research-paper-detail/article/the_local_arena_of_power_sharing_patterns_of_adaptation_or_continued_disorder.html Preliminary Findings Andreas Mehler, Claudia Simons, Denis M. Tull, Franzisca Zanker Thu, 29 Mar 2012 16:59:00 +0200 Crisis in Syria: Possibilities and Limits of Military Intervention http://www.swp-berlin.org/en/publications/swp-comments-en/swp-aktuelle-details/article/syria_military_intervention.html Now that the opposition Syrian National Council has begun calling for international military... Now that the opposition Syrian National Council has begun calling for international military intervention and an arms embargo, further military escalation of the crisis appears inevitable. This exacerbates the dilemma for international politics: Either Western governments accept the failure of their efforts to contain the conflict, and allow events to escalate into full-blown civil war with casualties running into the thousands. Or they weigh up the options for military engagement, with all the associated battlefield risks and political uncertainties.

]]> SWP Comments Markus Kaim Wed, 28 Mar 2012 15:17:00 +0200 Trade integration in Asia http://www.swp-berlin.org/en/publications/swp-research-paper-detail/article/trade_integration_in_asia.html Heribert Dieter Thu, 22 Mar 2012 11:17:00 +0100 Obama Fights China on Rare Earths - But Dependence on the Resource Giant will Remain http://blog.gmfus.org/2012/03/obama-fights-china-on-rare-earths-but-dependence-on-the-resource-giant-will-remain-stormy-annika-mildner/ Stormy-Annika Mildner Thu, 22 Mar 2012 08:43:00 +0100 Is Autonomy for Northeastern Libya Realistic? http://carnegieendowment.org/sada/2012/03/21/is-autonomy-for-northeastern-libya-realistic/a431 Wolfram Lacher Wed, 21 Mar 2012 00:00:00 +0100 Choosing Cooperation over Conflict: Russia and the Euro-Atlantic Security Order http://www.swp-berlin.org/en/publications/swp-comments-en/swp-aktuelle-details/article/russia_nato_relations.html With Putin once again taking the reigns as Russia's president, it can be expected that the country... With Putin once again taking the reigns as Russia's president, it can be expected that the country will become a difficult partner for the West over the coming years. For if one reads the articles and statements by Putin during the electoral campaign, it can be surmised that he will shape his foreign policy around anti-Western rhetoric and great power blustering. It is necessary, however, that there be continued efforts with Russia under Putin 3.0 in order to dampen the systemic conflict over political order. As long as it remains an unresolved issue as to how the Euro-Atlantic security order incorporating Russia should be shaped, it will not be possible to fully realize the amount of security policy cooperation with Moscow necessary to address current local and global security challenges. The Georgian War of 2008 emphatically demonstrated that the fragile relationship can worsen and take on crisis proportions as long as a stable system for cooperative security does not exist with Russia.

]]> SWP Comments Margarete Klein, Solveig Richter Mon, 19 Mar 2012 16:13:00 +0100 The Violent Power Struggle in Syria http://www.swp-berlin.org/en/publications/swp-comments-en/swp-aktuelle-details/article/syria_scenarios_and_policy_options.html Scenarios and Policy Options for the International Community The violence in Syria continues to escalate. Propaganda-serving reforms devoid of substance and credibility, like the constitutional amendments of February 2012, have done nothing to de-escalate the situation. A return to the status quo ante appears just as implausible as a negotiated settlement. There is now an acute danger of full-blown civil war with the fighting between regime and insurgents spilling over into sectarian bloodshed. Although pressure is growing for the international community to intervene militarily, the foremost goal must be to avoid an uncontrolled escalation of violence and to press for humanitarian organisations to be granted access.

]]> SWP Comments Muriel Asseburg, Heiko Wimmen Tue, 13 Mar 2012 14:13:00 +0100 The EU's Energy Roadmap 2050: Targets without Governance http://www.swp-berlin.org/en/publications/swp-comments-en/swp-aktuelle-details/article/the_eus_energy_roadmap_2050.html With the Energy Roadmap 2050 of December 2011, the European Commission has opened the debate about... With the Energy Roadmap 2050 of December 2011, the European Commission has opened the debate about the future shape of Europe's energy sector. But two central conflicts within the Union narrow the relevance of this planning instrument in the ongoing political process. Firstly, the European consensus that climate policy should determine energy policy, which has held since 2007, is likely to erode. Secondly, formulating European targets for 2050 suggests a greater scope of governance than the EU actually possesses, mainly because the European treaties still reserve the decisive role in shaping the energy mix for the member states. If the governments of the EU member states take the long-term approach of a European energy roadmap seriously, they would have to accept a major curtailment of their national sovereignty over energy policy.

]]> SWP Comments Severin Fischer, Oliver Geden Tue, 13 Mar 2012 11:03:00 +0100 Elite Change and New Social Mobilization in the Arab World http://www.swp-berlin.org/en/publications/swp-research-paper-detail/article/elite_change_and_new_social_mobilization_in_the_arab_world.html Concept Paper Working Papers Muriel Asseburg, Heiko Wimmen Mon, 12 Mar 2012 13:08:00 +0100 EU and NATO Efforts to Counter Piracy off Somalia – a Drop in the Ocean? http://www.esdpmap.org/pdf/2009_artrel_332_esr46-eu-nato-counterpiracy.pdf Eva Strickmann Mon, 05 Mar 2012 10:42:00 +0100 Sorting out the Grains and Bridging Divides: Africa’s Rise on the Global Scene http://www.swp-berlin.org/en/publications/swp-research-paper-detail/article/sorting_out_the_grains_and_bridging_divides_africas_rise_on_the_global_scene.html Eva Strickmann Mon, 05 Mar 2012 10:40:00 +0100 Solidifying Constructivism: How Material and Ideational Factors Interact in European Defence http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1468-5965.2011.02129.x/abstract Christoph O. Meyer, Eva Strickmann Mon, 05 Mar 2012 10:35:00 +0100 Les Défis Logistiques des Opérations de l'UE http://www.swp-berlin.org/en/publications/swp-research-paper-detail/article/les_defis_logistiques_des_operations_de_lue.html Claudia Major, Eva Strickmann Mon, 05 Mar 2012 10:31:00 +0100 Greece - no cheap and easy way out http://triplecrisis.com/greece-no-cheap-and-easy-way-out/ Daniela Schwarzer Tue, 28 Feb 2012 18:36:00 +0100 Beyond North Africa and the Middle East: The Impact on International Politics http://www.swp-berlin.org/en/publications/swp-research-paper-detail/article/beyond_north_africa_and_the_middle_east_the_impact_on_international_politics.html Volker Perthes Tue, 28 Feb 2012 17:06:00 +0100 Migration from Transition States to the EU: Mobility Partnerships and the Global Approach to Migration http://www.swp-berlin.org/en/publications/swp-research-paper-detail/article/migration_from_transition_states_to_the_eu_mobility_partnerships_and_the_global_approach_to_migration.html Steffen Angenendt Tue, 28 Feb 2012 17:05:00 +0100 Testing Times for Energy Security and Cooperation http://www.swp-berlin.org/en/publications/swp-research-paper-detail/article/testing_times_for_energy_security_and_cooperation.html Kirsten Westphal Tue, 28 Feb 2012 17:04:00 +0100 The United States and the Arab Spring: The End of the Post 9/11 Paradigm http://www.swp-berlin.org/en/publications/swp-research-paper-detail/article/the_united_states_and_the_arab_spring_the_end_of_the_post_911_paradigm.html Johannes Thimm Tue, 28 Feb 2012 17:03:00 +0100 Regional Repercussions of Revolution and Civil War in Libya http://www.swp-berlin.org/en/publications/swp-research-paper-detail/article/regional_repercussions_of_revolution_and_civil_war_in_libya.html Wolfram Lacher Tue, 28 Feb 2012 17:01:00 +0100 The Arab Spring and the Arab-Israeli Conflict: Freedom without Peace? http://www.swp-berlin.org/en/publications/swp-research-paper-detail/article/the_arab_spring_and_the_arab_israeli_conflict_freedom_without_peace.html Muriel Asseburg Tue, 28 Feb 2012 17:00:00 +0100 The Arab Spring and the Islamic Republic of Iran: Islamist Vision Meets Political Reality http://www.swp-berlin.org/en/publications/swp-research-paper-detail/article/the_arab_spring_and_the_islamic_republic_of_iran_islamist_vision_meets_political_reality.html Walter Posch Tue, 28 Feb 2012 16:59:00 +0100